ماندگاری شوک‌ها بر تخریب محیط ‌زیست در کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت: دلالت‌هایی برای سیاستگذاری زیست‌محیطی

دانشمند, آرین; رستمی راد, مژگان

doi:10.22054/jiee.2022.66047.1889

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

¹ استادیار، گروه اقتصادسیاسی و سیاستگذاری عمومی، دانشگاه علامه‌ طباطبائی، تهران، ایران

² کارشناسی ‌ارشد اقتصاد محیط ‌زیست، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران

https://doi.org/10.22054/jiee.2022.66047.1889

چکیده

شناسایی آثار دائمی یا موقتی شوک‌های وارد بر محیط زیست یکی از ملاحظات مهم در بحث سیاست‌گذاری است. هدف این پژوهش بررسی ماندگاری شوک‌ها بر تخریب محیط‌زیست در 33 کشور صادرکنندة نفت با استفاده از آزمون ریشه واحد پانل است. برای این منظور از آزمون پانل بهمنی اسکویی و همکاران (2014) با شکست‌های تیز و هموار و آزمون مانایی تک متغیره پانل کاریون سیلوستر و همکاران (2005) با شکست‌های تیز و هموار برای دورة زمانی 2017-1961 استفاده شد. نتایج پژوهش نشان داد که شوک‌های وارد بر ردپای بوم‌شناختی به عنوان شاخص تخریب محیط زیست در کشورهای منتخب صادرکنندة نفت آثار موقتی دارند. به عبارت دیگر، ردپای بوم‌شناختی تحت دو فرض واریانس بلندمدت همگن و واریانس بلندمدت ناهمگن رفتار بازگشت به میانگین دارد. نتایج آزمون تک متغیره نیز نشان داد مانایی ردپای بوم‌شناختی در سطح معنی‌داری 10 درصد برای همة کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت به جز کشورهای کانادا، جمهوری کنگو، مصر، ایران و اندونزی تأیید می‌شود. درنتیجه سیاست‌های مربوط به کاهش اندازه ردپای بوم‌شناختی در بلندمدت در کشورهای کانادا، جمهوری کنگو، مصر، ایران و اندونزی تأثیر دائمی خواهند داشت، به عبارت دیگر، مداخلة دولت در جهت وضع سیاست‌هایی که منجر به کاهش ردپای بوم‌شناختی می‌شوند، مؤثر خواهد بود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

20.1001.1.24235954.1400.10.39.5.6

عنوان مقاله [English]

Persistence of Shocks on Environmental Degradation in Oil-Exporting Countries: Implications for Environmental Policymaking

نویسندگان [English]

Arian Daneshmand ¹
Mojgan Rostamirad ²

¹ Assistant Professor, Department of Political Economy and Public Policy, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran

² M. Sc. in Environmental Economics, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, IranIran.

چکیده [English]

The objective of this study is to investigate policy shocks to the ecological footprints of 33 oil-exporting countries for the period 1961-2017. For this purpose, we apply the panel stationarity tests with both sharp and smooth breaks developed by Bahmani-Oskooee et al. (2014) and Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005) to test the persistence of shocks on environmental degradation. The overall results suggest that shocks to the ecological footprint as an indicator of environmental degradation in oil-exporting countries have temporary effects. In other words, the ecological footprint under the two assumptions of long-term homogeneous variance and long-term heterogeneous variance has a mean-reverting behavior. The results of the univariate test also reveal that the ecological footprint is stationary at a 10% significance level for all oil-exporting countries except Canada, Congo, Egypt, Indonesia, and Iran. This implies that policymakers should design effective long-run policies to reduce the ecological footprint in these countries.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Permanent and temporary shocks
Ecological footprint
Panel unit root test
Oil-exporting countries

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پژوهشنامه اقتصاد انرژی ایران

ماندگاری شوک‌ها بر تخریب محیط ‌زیست در کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت: دلالت‌هایی برای سیاستگذاری زیست‌محیطی

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 10، شماره 39 - شماره پیاپی 3
تابستان
تیر 1400
صفحه 127-158

ماندگاری شوک‌ها بر تخریب محیط ‌زیست در کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت: دلالت‌هایی برای سیاستگذاری زیست‌محیطی

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 10، شماره 39 - شماره پیاپی 3تابستانتیر 1400صفحه 127-158

دوره 10، شماره 39 - شماره پیاپی 3
تابستان
تیر 1400
صفحه 127-158