Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1 Department of Accounting and finance ,Q0.C, Islamic Azad University, Qom, Iran
2 Department of Accounting ,Q0.C, Islamic Azad University, Qom, Iran
3 Department of Accounting and Finance, ST.C., Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Objective: This study aims to identify and analyze the key drivers and potential future scenarios of supply chain financing in the energy sector of Iran, with the objective of systematically examining the forthcoming challenges and opportunities in this domain.
Method: Initially, 25 driving forces were identified through a comprehensive literature review and expert interviews. Subsequently, expert opinions were collected via an expert evaluation questionnaire and filtered using the Fuzzy Delphi method, resulting in the selection of 9 key drivers. These drivers were then prioritized using prioritization questionnaires analyzed through the Fuzzy WASPAS method, leading to the identification of two primary drivers for scenario development. Finally, based on these drivers and focus group interviews, four future scenarios were formulated. .
Findings: Supply chain resilience and the development of innovative financial instruments were identified as the most critical drivers. Based on these, four future scenarios were developed: Energy Financial Prosperity (the most favorable scenario), Resilience Under Pressure, Lost Opportunities, and Energy Financial Deadlock (the most unfavorable scenario).
Results: To prevent the occurrence of the critical "Energy Financial Deadlock" scenario, it is essential to implement structural reforms, revise legal and regulatory frameworks, strengthen oversight mechanisms, and enhance financial transparency. Other key strategies include developing independent financial institutions, leveraging innovative financial technologies, and utilizing international financial resources. Additionally, improving managerial capabilities and fostering collaboration among stakeholders across the energy supply chain can ensure the resilience and sustainability of the energy financing system.
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