Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Academic staff of Islamic Azad University of Zanjan

Abstract

The main goal of the research is to investigate the impact of various factors on energy intensity with emphasis on economic complexity and mutual relationship between financial risk and financial development. The statistical data used in this research are from the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG), World Bank, energy balance and MIT University website during the years 2000-2022. In order to estimate the target model, the Auto Regressive distributed Lags approach (ARDL approach) has been used in the framework of short-term dynamic model, long-term relationships and error correction model. ARDL model (1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0) was selected with one interval for energy intensity variable and zero interval for all independent variables based on Schwartz-Bayesian criterion. The results of the ARDL dynamic model in the short-term and long-term show: the effect of energy price and capital per capita on energy intensity is indirect. The effect of variables of economic complexity, trade liberalization, urbanization rate and internet users on energy intensity in the short and long term is direct. Despite its statistical significance, the coefficients of domestic investment and labor force are very small and close to zero. The mutual effects of financial risk and financial development, as well as the foreign direct investment variable, did not have a significant effect on energy intensity in both time periods.

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