Zohreh Salimian; fatemeh Bazzazan; Mirhossein Mousavi
Abstract
Energy-intensive industries in Iran are responsible for a significant share of energy consumption, especially oil products. Therefore, there is a major focus on promoting energy efficiency in such industries. Energy efficiency improvement results in rebound and backfire effects. In this paper we estimate ...
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Energy-intensive industries in Iran are responsible for a significant share of energy consumption, especially oil products. Therefore, there is a major focus on promoting energy efficiency in such industries. Energy efficiency improvement results in rebound and backfire effects. In this paper we estimate the effects of fuel oil efficiency improvement in energy intensive industries based on intertemporal general equilibrium model. Simulation for long run period is done for two scenarios, including 3.1% efficiency improvement in energy intensive industries and all sectors of economy. Results show that the rebound effects in chemical industry, food and beverage, basic metal, paper, Rubber and plastic, non- metallic minerals, and wood industries leads to rebound effects in the first scenario. In the long-run, backfire effects are seen in the second scenario in which efficiency improvements for all sectors is considered. In addition, efficiency improvement will result in production cost decrease. Chemical and non- metallic mineral industries experiencing the most decreases of production cost around 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.
Musa Khoshkalam Khosroshahi
Volume 3, Issue 11 , July 2014, , Pages 159-194
Abstract
Since the consumption of gasoil and gasoline in the Iranian economy, especially in the transportation sector is high, It is essential to thought serious solutions to improve the efficiency of these two petroleum products in various sectors. Improve the efficiency of gasoline and gasoil coupled with a ...
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Since the consumption of gasoil and gasoline in the Iranian economy, especially in the transportation sector is high, It is essential to thought serious solutions to improve the efficiency of these two petroleum products in various sectors. Improve the efficiency of gasoline and gasoil coupled with a problem called rebound effect (RE) Where the initial reduction in gasoline and gasoil consumption resulting in improved performance, partially neutralized. It is natural that neglecting the effect of the consumption of gasoline and gasoil would undermine the policy optimization. The purpose of this paper is to measuring the RE and changes in the transport sub-sector activity following a 10-percent improvement in efficiency of gasoline and gasoil. CGE model based on SAM1385 have been used to achieve the purposes of the paper. The results show that following a 10-percent improvement in efficiency of gasoline and gasoil, the maximum amount of RE for gasoline is in road transport sector (27.45 percent) and maximum amount of RE for gasoil is in road transport sector (25.21 percent). The average total RE of gasoline is equal 12.95% and for gasoil is equal 13.79%. It is noteworthy that following a 10-percent improvement in efficiency of gasoline and gasoil, rail transport sector has the greatest increase in activity level (13.4 percent).
