• سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
Mohammad Reza Kazemi Najaf Abadi; Mohammad Mahdi Hajian; Ghadir Mahdavi Kelishmi
Abstract
One of the innovations that has been formed in the insurance industry in recent years is transfer the risk to the capital markets. Today, this possibility is provided by issuing insurance bonds and Catastrophe bonds, which are a most important type of insurance-linked securities, can redress inefficiency ...
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One of the innovations that has been formed in the insurance industry in recent years is transfer the risk to the capital markets. Today, this possibility is provided by issuing insurance bonds and Catastrophe bonds, which are a most important type of insurance-linked securities, can redress inefficiency in the insurance industry. On the other hand, traditional insurance solutions to cover the risks of Iran's oil and gas industry is not efficient and sufficient and using CAT bonds to transfer risks of this industry to capital markets is a necessary and inevitable issue. The aim of this research is to identify effective factors for issuing Catastrophe bonds in Iran's oil and gas industry. On this basis and after reviewing the literature through library studies, 33 factors were identified in the form of seven categories, based on the similarities. Then, based on Delphi method, experts were asked to express their opinions through an iterative questionnaire. After take the experts' opinions in every round, the statistics analysis was performed and the Delphi process was stopped in the third round. Based on the results, the number of thirty-two factors in six categories recognized. Also, by using the method of analytical hierarchy process and reusing the opinions of experts, the criteria and sub-criteria were prioritized and in order of preference with the titles Legislation and Amendment of the Rules, Process Management, Transparency, Knowledge Management, Creation and Strengthening of Software Platforms and Cultivation.
مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Sima Arabani; masomeh Latifi Benmaran
Abstract
During the last decade, the international price of crude oil has experienced frequent periods of volatility; which has motivated researchers to investigate how oil price uncertainty affects economic activities and financial markets. Reasonably, oil, as a direct or indirect input factor, can strongly ...
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During the last decade, the international price of crude oil has experienced frequent periods of volatility; which has motivated researchers to investigate how oil price uncertainty affects economic activities and financial markets. Reasonably, oil, as a direct or indirect input factor, can strongly affect the cost of production and profitability expectations of companies. Accordingly, oil price changes can change the company's decision-making and performance. In this regard, we have investigated in the present research the impact of crude oil price volatility on the leverage criteria of companies admitted to the Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, we have used the data of 160 selected companies during the period of 2011 to 2019. We used the panel data method in order to analyze the collected data. The findings of the research showed that crude oil price volatility had negative and significant effects on the leverage criteria of listed companies. Therefore, we concluded that companies reduce their demand for financing to overcome the uncertainty of oil prices. Consequently, an increase in uncertainty in oil prices can motivate companies to reduce their demand for external financing and thus reduce their leverage.
Reza Eivazlu; Mohammad Sayyadi; Masoud Khademi
Abstract
As the first link between the host governments and oil companies, oil contracts arrangements have an important role to risk sharing between contract parties. In this regard, the main objective of this study is to provide a comparative evaluation of the risk factor (Cost Risk, Price Risk, Production Risk) ...
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As the first link between the host governments and oil companies, oil contracts arrangements have an important role to risk sharing between contract parties. In this regard, the main objective of this study is to provide a comparative evaluation of the risk factor (Cost Risk, Price Risk, Production Risk) of National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) in Buy-Back (BB), Production Sharing Contract (PSC), and Iranian Petroleum Contract (IPC), and choosing the best contract based on the risk factor. Based on the results of the Wilcoxon Ranking Test, the average of the NPV of the NIOC in the IPC is more than the other types of contracts. However, the NPV in the IPC does not significantly differ from BB. Other findings revealed that the most risk of rising costs to the NIOC is related to the BB, IPC, and PSC, respectively. In addition, the most risk associated with a reduction in oil production is related to BB, IPC, and PSC, respectively. the most risk associated with the oil price reduction for the NIOC related to the IPC same as BB contracts that greater than PSC.
Seyed Nasrollah Ebrahimi; Mahmoud akbari
Abstract
This study is the continuation of a few research studies that have been carried out in Iran and other countries identifying the types of the risks involved in design-build contract. Recently, many Iranian petroleum contracts have been encountered with various claims and disputes which made the industry ...
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This study is the continuation of a few research studies that have been carried out in Iran and other countries identifying the types of the risks involved in design-build contract. Recently, many Iranian petroleum contracts have been encountered with various claims and disputes which made the industry difficult to cope and imposed heavier direct and indirect costs and expenditures. This research is meant to provide solutions not only how to tackle this risk but also to prevent cases of such bitter events in the petroleum industry. This study endeavors also to identify the risks in the design and build and EPC contracts in petroleum contracts and then to manage and allocate such risks between the Parties to such contracts. Further, the indented and assessed risks alongside with optimized allocated risks have been compared with the Model Contracts of the EPC No. 5490, drafted by the Planning and Supervision Organization of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and then recommended solutions are proposed in this paper. It is concluded that one of the main causes of such many claims and disputes in the petroleum industry of Iran, is the lack of professional exercise related to the identification, assessment and managements of the petroleum industry risks. It is also resulted from this study that contracts risks management should be the prevailing exercise to design sustainable policy and strategic approaches to prevent the petroleum projects risks that may be embedded during the execution of the petroleum projects.
