arash fakhrizadeh; Hossein Tavakolian; Seyyed Ahmad Reza Jalali Naini
Abstract
The present article adopts the new approach to fiscal policy in the commodity (oil) exporting developing countries to avoid the "Dutch Disease" phenomenon and instead guide the economy toward "Dutch Vigor" through “sustainability and scaling up of public investment”. This approach results ...
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The present article adopts the new approach to fiscal policy in the commodity (oil) exporting developing countries to avoid the "Dutch Disease" phenomenon and instead guide the economy toward "Dutch Vigor" through “sustainability and scaling up of public investment”. This approach results in greater stability of the real exchange rate and economic growth. We cast this issue in the context of a multi-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) for the Iranian economy. Three fiscal rules are used to allocate oil revenues for saving, current government expenditures, and government investments. The allocation process is done in two stages. First, the share of oil revenues to a sovereign wealth fund (SWF) is determined. Second, the remainder is allocated between current and investment expenditures. We look for a smooth public investment path. By estimating the structural parameters of the model, the share of SWF, current, and investment expenditures that are consistent with the objectives of sustainability and higher investment scale can be measured. Comparison of the results of simulations of the model show that a smooth public investment path and saving in SWF combined with central bank sterilization of the money base, due to increases in the net foreign assets, not only contributes to sustainability of investment and reduced real exchange rate volatility, but also helps the monetary authority to pursue its objectives.
Hadis Asadi Malek Abadi; Aziz Moraseli
Abstract
In this research, By using data envelopment analysis method and output distance functions to decomposes energy productivity change into four components; technical efficiency change, technological change, changes in capital to energy ratio and labor in energy ratio In the industrial sector of the country ...
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In this research, By using data envelopment analysis method and output distance functions to decomposes energy productivity change into four components; technical efficiency change, technological change, changes in capital to energy ratio and labor in energy ratio In the industrial sector of the country Iran during the period 2014-2004. To this end, the output-axis data envelope analysis method has been used with the assumption of constant returns to scale. The results show that the effect of changing the ratio of capital to energy is a major factor in reducing the of energy intensity in the industrial sector of the Iran, changes technological progress, changes labor- energy ratio and changes technical efficiency drove up energy intensity in most industries.
Mohammadreza Asghari Oskoei; Farhad Fallahi; Meysam Doostizadeh; saeed Moshiri
Abstract
With increasing competition in the wholesale Electricity markets and advances in behavioral economics in recent years, the multi-agent modeling approach has been applied widely to simulate the outcome of the markets. The electricity market consists of power generating agents that compete over production ...
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With increasing competition in the wholesale Electricity markets and advances in behavioral economics in recent years, the multi-agent modeling approach has been applied widely to simulate the outcome of the markets. The electricity market consists of power generating agents that compete over production in daily auction conducted by an independent system operator (ISO). The market clearing mechanism can be seen as a static game that repeats every hour. In this game, an agent proposes her price for the next day and the ISO chooses the best proposals that minimizes the total costs given the demand and the technical constraints. Agents are also assumed to learn from the outcomes and adjust their biding strategy accordingly. In this paper, we develop an agent-based model for the day-ahead and pay-as-bid electricity market in Iran. The objective is to compare the outcome of the market measured by the agents profit and the time to converge using three different strategies: greedy, random and reinforcement learning. The simulation results indicate that the reinforcement learning leads to higher profits with a faster convergence rate than the other two strategies.
Hadis Ahadi; Younes Nademi; Ramin Khochiany
Abstract
Today many developing countries face the problem of brain drain that could be affected by oil rents in oil-exporting countries. Natural resources aggravate rentier behavior and affect the welfare of elites and finally increase brain drain. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the nonlinear effects ...
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Today many developing countries face the problem of brain drain that could be affected by oil rents in oil-exporting countries. Natural resources aggravate rentier behavior and affect the welfare of elites and finally increase brain drain. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the nonlinear effects of oil rent on brain drain in oil-exporting countries (OPEC) during the period 2000-2016. For this purpose, the dynamic threshold panel method has been used. The results indicate the nonlinear effects of oil rents on brain drain. When the ratio of oil rents to gross domestic product is lower than 41.4%, the increase in oil rents has a positive significant impact on the brain drain in the OPEC countries and when the ratio of oil rents to gross domestic product greater than the threshold value, increasing oil rents will cause brain drain more than before.
Ali Hossein Samadi; Mehdi Emami Meybodi
Abstract
In recent years, in addition to conventional sources of gas, production from unconventional sources is also possible. Iran as a second-largest conventional gas reserves in the world and the fourth producer, intends to enter the gas competition, increase its share in the global gas trade. The purpose ...
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In recent years, in addition to conventional sources of gas, production from unconventional sources is also possible. Iran as a second-largest conventional gas reserves in the world and the fourth producer, intends to enter the gas competition, increase its share in the global gas trade. The purpose of this study is to investigate the long-term exploration, extraction and production of gas and the impact of unconventional gas production. To achieve this objective, System Dynamics approach is used. The model developed consists of three sub-system conventional gas exploration and production cycle, investment and global demand and for the period 2001-2035 is simulated. Model validity is approved and simulation results indicated that, with current trends, the life of undiscovered gas reserves in Iran from 400 years to less than 30 years will be reduce in 2035. Gas production rising from 100 BCM in 2001 to more than 500 BCM in 2035. In other words, the gas production in Iran will be about 5 times over a period of 35 years. Applying scenarios such as increasing the rate of exploration, increased investment in development and increase investment in technological improvements will lead to an increase in gas production. However, the development of unconventional gas could reduce demand security of gas in world and reduce the Iranian gas production in a long-term period. At the same time taking into account all scenarios can increase gas production and thus offset the decline in production is due to the expansion of gas production from unconventional sources.
مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
hosein amirrahimi; Seyyed Shamseddin Hosseini; Seyyed Mohammad Reza Seyyed Noorani; Teymour Mohammadi; Esmaeil Safarzadeh
Abstract
In recent years, privatization in the downstream industries of oil and gas , has been one of the most important measures taken to change and improve the business environment and remove barriers of production, as well as to implement of the general policies of Article 44 of the Constitution. This study ...
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In recent years, privatization in the downstream industries of oil and gas , has been one of the most important measures taken to change and improve the business environment and remove barriers of production, as well as to implement of the general policies of Article 44 of the Constitution. This study intends to check out eleven variables related to the performance of six companies: Isfahan Oil Refinery, Bandar Abbas Oil Refinery, Tehran Oil Refinery, Lavan Oil Refinery, Shiraz Oil Refinery and Tabriz Oil Refinery by DID (fuzzy) method and compare it with control groups in order to Assess the privatization status of these companies. The results of this study show that two variables out of the eleven variables -, the ratio of general administrative and sales costs to revenues and the number of staff before and after the transfer, were significant for the control group. In other words, the employment situation and general administrative and sales costs in the companies under review were more unsatisfactory than the control group and in this regard, they had poor performance. This shows that in practice, the transfer of these companies has not affected the employment situation, positively.
Ahmed Seifi; Mustafa Salimifar Salimifar; Haniyeh Fanoodi
Volume 2, Issue 7 , July 2013, , Pages 17-41
Abstract
Thermal power plant emissions are considered as one of the most important environmental pollutions. In this study environmental efficiency of electricity industry for NOx emissions is calculated. Our data include 6 power plants of three Khorasan provinces for 1384-1387. We rely on hyperbolic translog ...
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Thermal power plant emissions are considered as one of the most important environmental pollutions. In this study environmental efficiency of electricity industry for NOx emissions is calculated. Our data include 6 power plants of three Khorasan provinces for 1384-1387. We rely on hyperbolic translog distance function specification that treats the outputs asymmetrically by allowing equiproportional desirable outputs expansion and undesirable outputs contraction. This function is implemented by using conventional econometric techniques based on panel data maximum likelihood estimation. The result shows that environmental efficiency for this sample of plants is 93.81 on average. In addition, our estimated shadow price for each kilogram of NOx is 1.12 Rials. Results of this kind of studies can be useful for decision makers to have a better environmental prospect for planning.
Morteza Khorsandi; Zahra Azizi
Volume 1, Issue 3 , July 2012, , Pages 17-34
Abstract
The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is one of the important issues in energy economics. Total energy consumption and its utilization in various sectors can affect this relationship. Therfore it may imply that this relationship can considered in a nonlinear framework. In this ...
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The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is one of the important issues in energy economics. Total energy consumption and its utilization in various sectors can affect this relationship. Therfore it may imply that this relationship can considered in a nonlinear framework. In this paper we investigate the nonlinearity of the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth using a smooth transition regression model, where the non-productive part of energy use (i.e. final use) is assumed as the transition variable. The results indicates that there is a positive nonlinear relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Iran. The effect of energy on economic growth is negative as the share of nonproductive sector’s energy use rises. Estimated output elasticity of energy in our sample (1967-2008) is between 0.14 and 0.88, and its mean is about 0.325.
Mahboubeh Jafari; Karim Eslamlouyan; Ebrahim Hadian; Ali Hossain Samadi
Volume 3, Issue 12 , October 2014, , Pages 20-60
Abstract
The main goal of this paper is to study the effect of social infrastructure on economic growth in a recourse-based economy. To this end, we introduce the quality of social infrastructure into an endogenous growth model. The set up allows us to see how the resource abundance can influence the quality ...
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The main goal of this paper is to study the effect of social infrastructure on economic growth in a recourse-based economy. To this end, we introduce the quality of social infrastructure into an endogenous growth model. The set up allows us to see how the resource abundance can influence the quality of social infrastructure and hence economic growth. We use optimal control theory to solve the model. The analytical solution shows that the impact of non-renewable resources on economic growth depends on the models' parameters. More specifically, we find out that if natural resource abundance leads to deterioration of social infrastructure, it might offset the positive impact of natural resources on economic growth and even might result in lower economic growth rate. We finally calibrate the model for Iran as an energy-rich economy. The calibration results indicate that in order to achieve 8 percent average growth rate, the quality of social infrastructure should improve by at least 4.3 percent. Moreover, when we ignore the quality of social infrastructure, the optimum economic growth rate is found to be 6 percent. This shows that it is important to take into consideration the role of social infrastructure in estimating long run economic growth for Iran. The result of sensitivity analysis indicates that one percent improvement in the index of social infrastructure results in 0.42 percent increase in equilibrium growth rate in Iran. This finding has important policy implications for policymakers and social planners in Iran.
Hamid Amadeh
Volume 2, Issue 8 , October 2013, , Pages 21-43
Abstract
Due to importance of energy factor in agricultural sector and considering the increasing energy price in recent years, analysis of energy demand is very important. In this paper in order to analyse agricultural energy demand, OLS, FMOLS and Johansen cointegration method and ARDL approach ...
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Due to importance of energy factor in agricultural sector and considering the increasing energy price in recent years, analysis of energy demand is very important. In this paper in order to analyse agricultural energy demand, OLS, FMOLS and Johansen cointegration method and ARDL approach has been used and results of these methods have been compared. Data on energy price index, energy consumption and agricultural value added for priod 1355-1388 were used. Results showed that long run and short run price elasticity of energy consumtion are between -0.3 to -0.327 and -0.09 to -0.102 respectively. Also income elasticity of energy consumption estimated egual to 0.7. Results of OLS estimation of Log-Log model, Johansen cointegration method and ARDL approach are very similar. Because of price inelasticity of energy consumption especially in the shortrun, price policies are not likely to reduce energy consumtion considerably. Price policies can be more effective in the longrun, but this is subject to improvemeats in the energy consumption technology.
Ali Takroosta; Parisa Mohajeri; Teymour Mohamadi; Abbas Shakeri
Abstract
Considering the source of oil shocks, this study aims to investigate the effect of oil price shocks on the key macroeconomic variables of the OPEC countries. Even though oil shocks are originated by various factors, political risks are of great importance. Using structural vector-autoregressive model, ...
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Considering the source of oil shocks, this study aims to investigate the effect of oil price shocks on the key macroeconomic variables of the OPEC countries. Even though oil shocks are originated by various factors, political risks are of great importance. Using structural vector-autoregressive model, we disentangled oil shocks and studied their impacts on OPEC’s GDP growth and inflation, using a Panel-VAR for 1994:1-2016:4. Our results highlight that among oil shocks, the oil price shocks stemming from the political risk of OPEC countries have the most significant impact on the OPEC's economic growth, while not having any significant impact on inflation of the countries. We also learned that oil supply shocks could also boost economic growth and increase inflation rates in OPEC countries, although these increases are not significant. Other oil price shocks will only lead to higher inflation in these countries without affecting OPEC's economic growth.
Lotfali Bakhshi; Javid Bahrami; Farzaneh Mousavi
Volume 1, Issue 4 , October 2012, , Pages 25-42
Abstract
countries. It seems that these effects have modified during the last four decades. In other words, the effects of the oil shocks of 1970s on the industrialized economies of the oil importing countries have been mostly followed by an overwhelming stagflation, although such severe effects have not appeared ...
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countries. It seems that these effects have modified during the last four decades. In other words, the effects of the oil shocks of 1970s on the industrialized economies of the oil importing countries have been mostly followed by an overwhelming stagflation, although such severe effects have not appeared after the oil shocks of 1990s. In this paper, with the use of Autoregressive (VAR) model, the attempt is to investigate the critical effects of oil shocks on some oil exporting countries like Iran, Venezuela, Nigeria, Norway and Canada. Based on impulse response functions in these countries, we will arrive at the conclusion that just in Norway and Canada, the effects of oil shocks on growth rate, inflation and real exchange rate have been decreased. In this case, the paper will argue that the role of exchange rate systems, monetary policies and different macroeconomic structure of these countries have caused milder effects of oil shocks in 1990s.
saeed shavalpour; Elahe Kaviani
Abstract
The paper investigates the effects of oil price fluctuations on the installed capacity of wind energy in developing countries in comparison with the impact of economies of scale and technical learning. To this end, we used rolling regression analysis and data from 2003 to 2015 to calculate annual technical ...
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The paper investigates the effects of oil price fluctuations on the installed capacity of wind energy in developing countries in comparison with the impact of economies of scale and technical learning. To this end, we used rolling regression analysis and data from 2003 to 2015 to calculate annual technical learning rates. Using the panel data regression and autoregressive model based on panel data we analyzed the effect of oil price fluctuations on wind energy installed capacity as the most advanced renewable energy in developing countries. The results show that oil price changes in the long run have a positive but limited impact on the development of renewable energy in developing countries. Oil price shocks, although in the short term and driven by the incentive of developing countries to transfer higher-tech technologies to renewable energy can not in the long term alone, guarantee the development of renewable energy in these countries
Hamid Reza horee; sated Abolmagged galali; sayeed gafare
Volume 2, Issue 6 , April 2013, , Pages 27-48
Abstract
Today, environmental issues, especially water and air pollution problems have become a major global concern. Air pollution, affects the health of living organisms and natural ecosystems. According to various studies, financial development in a country may attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and higher ...
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Today, environmental issues, especially water and air pollution problems have become a major global concern. Air pollution, affects the health of living organisms and natural ecosystems. According to various studies, financial development in a country may attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and higher degrees of research and development (R&D). This, in turn can, increase the environmental performance and thereby reduce environmental pollution. This investigation aims to examine the role of financial development and energy consumption in Iran during 1971-2007, in the framework of the environmental Kuznets curve, using ARDL approach. According to results further financial development in Iran lead to decrease of CO2 emissions. In addition, an increase in energy consumption in Iran is likely to increase CO2 emissions. Also, the results reject the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis in Iran in the long-term.
marzieh pakniyat; Javid Bahrami; Hossein Tavakolian; Somayeh Shahhosseini
Abstract
Banks as financial intermediaries play an important role in facilitating the economic cycle. The implications of the bank’s investment in the housing sector in Iran's economy, which is prone to Dutch disease, is a concern of the present study and we have designed a Keynesian dynamic stochastic ...
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Banks as financial intermediaries play an important role in facilitating the economic cycle. The implications of the bank’s investment in the housing sector in Iran's economy, which is prone to Dutch disease, is a concern of the present study and we have designed a Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for it. The results of the model, which confirm the Dutch disease during a positive oil shock, suggest that banks' investment in the housing sector when production in the economy is growing and the amount of concessional facilities has increased, is a well-accepted and profitable. The positive shock of labor productivity in the manufacturing sector and the shock of monetary policy will put the economy in a position where production in the economy will increase and banks' investment in the housing sector will be profitable. But in a space where production is declining and the size of the granting of bank facilities is decreased, as the economy faces a positive shock to labor productivity in the housing sector or a positive shock to oil revenues, the freezing of banks' assets in the housing sector has not been favorable and, furthermore, putting them at risk by reducing profits and falling capital in banks.
Mohammad Saeed Khani; Esmaeil Fallahi; Mehdi Baneshi
Abstract
These days, achieving an optimal model and defining a comprehensive map for energy supply have become necessary in Iran. Considering a holistic approach and drawing a desired state in the different aspects of sustainability, including technical, economic and environmental criteria, this study introduces ...
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These days, achieving an optimal model and defining a comprehensive map for energy supply have become necessary in Iran. Considering a holistic approach and drawing a desired state in the different aspects of sustainability, including technical, economic and environmental criteria, this study introduces an optimal model in order to achieve cost-effective and environment-friendly energy resources under various 100 to 500-year scenarios using a genetic algorithm. Results determined the appropriate portfolio of energy resources in each mentioned period. According to the results, the share of fossil fuels to supply energy is higher than the other resources and the relative impact of financial indicator is more substantial than the environmental indicator in short-run, while this trend is rapidly changing toward renewable energy resources; so that a share of 63 percents of fossil fuels in the 100-year period has changed to the share of 62 percents of renewable energies during the 500-year period. Also estimating the harvest of each of the energy resources from there source capacity over a year showed that, along with increasing the length of various scenarios, the use of renewable and environment-friendly resources is recommended nearly full capacity utilization.
hamidreza arbab; Ali Emami Meibodi; Saba Rajabi Ghadi
Abstract
The amount of energy consumption per growth affects on economic growth in all countries, so the access of world countries to variety of energy is essential for economic growth. Numerous studies in a world have shown that the pace of growth of energy consumption will largely depend on the level of economic ...
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The amount of energy consumption per growth affects on economic growth in all countries, so the access of world countries to variety of energy is essential for economic growth. Numerous studies in a world have shown that the pace of growth of energy consumption will largely depend on the level of economic growth. The present study aims to investigate on the researches that has been done on impact of the renewable energy consumption on the economic growth, all over the world. And after that the relation between renewable energy consumption and growth in a selected countries of OPEC members during 1985-2014. With unit root test determine stability of data and proved that all data are stable. The linear Granger causality test indicate unidirectional causality from energy consumption to growth. F limer and hausman test also stimate for determining the Regression model.
Ahmadreza Jalali Naiini; Vahid Ghorbani Pashakolae; Mohamad Sayadi
Volume 3, Issue 9 , January 2014, , Pages 31-52
Abstract
Due to price volatility in the oil market, market players are exposed to large risks. Value at Risk (VaR) is one of the main methods to measure market risk in various asset markets including commodities.,. In this study, Upside and Downside Risks are estimated by using the GED-GARCH method that is appropriate ...
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Due to price volatility in the oil market, market players are exposed to large risks. Value at Risk (VaR) is one of the main methods to measure market risk in various asset markets including commodities.,. In this study, Upside and Downside Risks are estimated by using the GED-GARCH method that is appropriate for leptokurtic distributions with fat tail. The daily spot and Futures oil prices data from January 1986 to December 2010 data for "in sample" and from January 2011 to July 2012 for "out of sample" are our data sample. To test the reliability of estimated VaR, the Kupiec test is used. Also by using Granger Causality analysis, the spillover effect risk between spot and futures oil price returns are investigated. Results show that spot and futures returns have leptokurtic distribution with fat tails. There is also a significant upside spillover effect risk from futures to spot price returns at 99% confidence level as for oil price increases during 2000s.
Mohammad Reza Shokouhi
Abstract
Today, there are many types of contracts in the world. However, Managers and other experts don’t know enough about those of contracts attributes and, maybe, they face many problems in adjusting the working relationship. On the other hand, it seems that there are very few studies regarding this ...
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Today, there are many types of contracts in the world. However, Managers and other experts don’t know enough about those of contracts attributes and, maybe, they face many problems in adjusting the working relationship. On the other hand, it seems that there are very few studies regarding this issue due to the fact that contracting is an interdisciplinary approach. Hence, this paper assumes the standard problem of Transaction Cost Economics as the basis of the analysis and by classifing constructual contracts into the two groups of build or buy, attemps to analyse the structure of both groups. This paper by dividing Contractual Relationships into two groups has made use of some cases from Iranian oil industry. This approach is interdisciplinary and it is shown that an improved understanding of the concepts can help managers and other decision makers to arrive at more efficient decisions.
mortaza khorsandi; Atefeh Taklif; ali faridzad; Ali Taherifard; ali saberi
Abstract
The choice of contract type in oil fields has always been one of the main and problematic challenges in Iran and elying in making decisions in this regard leads to a dely or non-investment. On the other hand, one of the ways to recognize the components of bargaining power is to recognize and ...
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The choice of contract type in oil fields has always been one of the main and problematic challenges in Iran and elying in making decisions in this regard leads to a dely or non-investment. On the other hand, one of the ways to recognize the components of bargaining power is to recognize and evaluate various types of international contracts. Therefore, in thiss study, while introducing the fiscal model of the contractual agreement concluded in Iran, as well as a combination of contracts for participation in traditional production in Azerbaijan with Joint venture, has been applied to financial simulation in Duroud oil field. After explaining the optimization problem using the generalized reduction gradient method, the optimal production path from the perspective of the parties to the contract is estimated andcompared with the production path specified in the buy back contract. The results show that the use of share-based indicators of project revenues and the net present value of a project for evaluate of oil contracts can be misleading. The oil production path agreed in the Buy back contract is higher than the optimal production path from the perspective of both sides of the combined contract. Tthis is due to the desire of the International Oil Company to rapidly capture capex and remuneration fee in the shortest possible time. Increase in recoverable reserves due to gas injection (presented in MDP), which was approved in buy back contract is less than its optimal amount from the viewpoint of Joint venture in a hybrid contract. This indicates that the proposed hybrid contract is closer to the Maximum Effective Rate and Maximum Final Recovery from Oilfields than the conventional buy back agreement in Iran.
Hamid Amadeh; Alireza Ghafari; Zakaria Farajzadeh
Volume 4, Issue 13 , January 2015, , Pages 33-62
Abstract
The second step of subsidies targeting program which is coupled with energy price reform, has multiple effects on the economy. One of the major effects is the welfare and environmental changes in the country. This study intends to analyze the environmental and welfare effects of energy price reform using ...
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The second step of subsidies targeting program which is coupled with energy price reform, has multiple effects on the economy. One of the major effects is the welfare and environmental changes in the country. This study intends to analyze the environmental and welfare effects of energy price reform using a general equilibrium model. There are two scenarios of income redistribution. First, redistribution of whole income among households equally and second, redistribution of income in accordance with the subsidies targeting law. In this model, Iran's economy consists of 26 section. Households are considered separately for urban and rural in income deciles. Production factors, includs skilled labor, unskilled labor and capital. Energy carriers include electricity, natural gas, LPG, petrol, kerosene, fuel oil, and gasoline. The first scenario, leads to about 16 percent welfare increase in urban households and 53 percent to rural household. The second scenario, provides welfare increase about 3 percent for urban households and 25 percent to rural household. Considering environmental effects it is found that energy price reform is effective in reducing emissions, in total.
Masoud Derakhshan; Atefeh Taklif
Abstract
We have shown that the reliance on foreign investment within the framework of oil contracts with international oil companies has not been and will not be productive in the transfer and development of technology in Iranian upstream oil industry unless the following conditions are satisfied: i) adequate ...
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We have shown that the reliance on foreign investment within the framework of oil contracts with international oil companies has not been and will not be productive in the transfer and development of technology in Iranian upstream oil industry unless the following conditions are satisfied: i) adequate growth in the propositional and prescriptive knowledge related to oil industry to create a satisfactory absorption capacity, and ii) the active role of regulatory institutions for supervising, managing and enhancing efficiency in the market for technology to secure an effective utilization of the absorption capacity. It is emphasized that a careful identification of players in the market for oil technology transfer and development, and the realization of the processes of weakening and strengthening positions of international oil companies and service oil companies in this market, respectively, is the prerequisite in the design of optimum oil technology policies in Iran. Despite the importance of contractors in the recognition of the necessity of technological development in the chain of oil operations and conveying that to technology developers, we have noted that the scarcity of financial resources for investment in the transfer and development of technology as well as the shortcomings in the optimum utilization of the absorption capacity in Iran imply that the regulatory institutions in the market for oil technology should become more efficient and assume more active role in managing this market. It is shown that these institutions can direct the process of the transfer and development of oil technology along with the national strategies in industrial development by prioritizing the technologies which are consistent with the objectives of oil sector and at the same time having spillover effects to certain key industries in the national economy.
Davoud Behboudi; Simin Kiani; Saeid Ebrahimi
Volume 1, Issue 1 , January 2011, , Pages 33-53
Abstract
This study investigates the Granger causality relationship between energy consumption, carbon emission and industrial value added, including labor and gross fixed capital formation in the model. We found that energy consumption is Granger cause of carbon dioxide emission and industrial value added. Also ...
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This study investigates the Granger causality relationship between energy consumption, carbon emission and industrial value added, including labor and gross fixed capital formation in the model. We found that energy consumption is Granger cause of carbon dioxide emission and industrial value added. Also results of variance analysis model suggests that the long term effects of variables on their own swings gradually declines, and share of other variables increases.
Javid Bahrami; Naser Khiabani; Morteza Gazi
Volume 1, Issue 2 , April 2012, , Pages 33-57
Hossein Tavakolian; Seyed Amir Etemadi; Reza Tehrani
Abstract
The importance of oil price volatility spillover has significantly increased since the globalization and financial markets’ interaction have expanded. Based on this, the oil price impact on financial markets, as an exogenous variable, is also increased. In this paper, we study the “volatility ...
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The importance of oil price volatility spillover has significantly increased since the globalization and financial markets’ interaction have expanded. Based on this, the oil price impact on financial markets, as an exogenous variable, is also increased. In this paper, we study the “volatility spillover of Brent oil price return effects on return of Iran and USA financial markets during 2008-2016 using weekly data. Results show that volatility of Brent oil price return spillovers S&P500 and related industries to oil indexes in USA, so it does not spillover Tehran exchange price index return and related industries to oil indexes in Iran. Also financial market indexes return do not spillover together in short-time.
